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Igor is not moving, and at this far out in the Atlantic it's likely to cause a very long delay before it heads more west, it has remained weak as well. The official forecast keeps it still in the Central Atlantic into the middle of next week. Odds strongly favor the system staying out to sea once past the Cape Verde, and it may become a major hurricane while doing so.

Outside of this, Ex-Gaston is over Hispaniola and is causing rains in Haiti, but does not look to develop anytime soon. Another area in the Leeward islands may have to be watched as it moves westward, but for now it's not an official "Invest" area. (Update: Just minutes after this was written, 92L gets designated) This system has a good shot for development when this system arrives in the western Caribbean, and is probably the most worthy of being watched of all the areas (For affects to land. m Highest chances currently are for western Caribbean islands (Caymans/Jamaica/Cuba), Belize, Yucatan, and Mexico westward). Although for track it is still a developing system, so things can change.

If it were to develop, Saturday/Sunday seems to be most likely.

Over Africa another wave may emerge that could develop, but that also is trending toward a recurve.

In short, one storm that looks to recurve, and a few unlikely areas that need to be watched for development later is pretty good news for the peak of the season. However, this is also the time to watch for surprises (like Hermine).

Hurricane Earl has weakened a bit overnight due to dry air and small amounts of shear, but it is still a major hurricane. Earl is forecast to be at it's closest point to the outer banks of North Carolina Thursday night into Friday morning.

The majority of models keep Earl just offshore, but close enough to cause problems. A few, such as the NOGAPS take it inland into North Carolina. Those in the warning area, In short, prepare for the worst and hope for the best, and you should be looking at local advisories, officials, and Media.

The Hurricane Watches for North Carolina may be upgraded to Hurricane Warnings later today.

Those north of there along the coast will want to watch Earl closely for any changes or additional watches and warnings. Especially in Eastern Massachusetts/Cape Cod.

Those in Canada in the forecast track zone should begin to prepare as well.

Tropical Storm Fiona is being caught up in the northerly flow from Earl, and currently is just offshore North and East of the Leeward islands, the official forecast takes it northward and eventually stalls near Bermuda, but there is some uncertainty with the forecast so the next day or two is critical for the eventual path of Fiona. Fiona will likely stay weak, unless effects from Earl drop off quicker than expected or a center relocation southward happens. Fiona is still very much worth watching.

Tropical Storm warnings and Watches are up for the Leewards for Fiona.

Hurricane Earl is just offshore to the north of Anguilla this morning, avoiding a direct hit on the islands, but close enough to cause some trouble, the forecast takes east of the Bahamas and then near the coast of North Carolina by Friday, and then turns it more northward, staying close to the coast of new England. Because the error could be several hundred miles (in either direction) those along the east coast from the Carolinas northward should pay close attention to earl.
Odds favor it staying offshore, but it would be close.

Danielle is still a hurricane, but likely to drop below hurricane strength soon.

97L did not develop over the weekend, but still has a good chance to over the next few days. The weaker system implies a greater chance for a westward motion and those in the Leewards will want to watch this system as well.

There are two active storms in the Atlantic this morning. Hurricane Danielle, which is recurving rather abruptly, and looks like it will miss Bermuda comfortably to the east. Danielle has another window to strengthen tomorrow into Saturday, where it still may reach major status.

Tropical Storm Earl is moving generally west northwest right now. Odds are increasing that it will recurve and miss the Caribbean islands as the weakness between 55 and 60 degrees west looks to be maintained throughout the week. This recurving is quit normal for cape Verde systems. Bermuda may have to watch Earl later, but odds favor it being missed as well. If anything changes we'll note it.

(11 AM Mini Earl Update): The hurricane center mentions a point about Earl (and Danielle) at the 11AM discussion, basically saying if Danielle recurves faster and or more abruptly than forecast, it could give a window for the ridge to reform near earl, keeping it a bit further west than the current track, which would possibly bring the Eastern Caribbean back in play. Odds are against it, but if Earl's forecasted path were to change, that would be one of the reasons why, and something to watch for.

Beyond that, the pattern probably holds into the first part of September, so odds are the wave emerging from the African coast will recurve as well around the same place. But that far out becomes a bit more uncertain. It is possible we'll have three storms to track by the end of the weekend.

The good news is that the recurve pattern looks to last into perhaps the first week of September. But unfortunately after that the pattern may start to change. However, it's still important to be vigilant for anything that develops closer to land is more of a risk, but there is nothing imminent.

The only affect along the US from these systems will be slightly higher surf, which could cause some swells, large waves and rip currents in some areas.

Tornadoes in Florida

Hail storm in Oklahoma City

Flood in Tennessee

Tornadoes in Oklahoma